Kimball Rankings
College Basketball Analysis Using a Calibrated Unbiased Numerical Computer Model
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This website was last updated on March 11, 2012
Note that just because a team is ranked higher than another doesn't mean the Kimball Basketball Model would expect it to win.
See our other pages for more details.
Kimball Rank
Team
Conference
AP Rank
Record
Modeled Wins
Modeled Margin
1
Kentucky
Southeastern
1
32-2
368
9331
2
Ohio State
Big Ten
7
27-7
367
8969
3
Memphis
Conference USA
29
25-8
365
9122
4
Wichita State
Missouri Valley
18
26-5
363
8077
5
Michigan State
Big Ten
5
27-7
361
7678
6
Syracuse
Big East
2
31-2
361
7401
7
Wisconsin
Big Ten
14
24-9
360
6227
8
Missouri
Big 12
3
30-4
358
8170
9
New Mexico
Mountain West
21
27-6
358
6660
10
Louisville
Big East
17
26-9
357
6048
11
Kansas
Big 12
6
26-7
356
7339
12
Georgetown
Big East
15
24-7
356
6630
13
Long Beach State
Big West
35
22-8
356
6275
14
Marquette
Big East
11
24-7
354
6877
15
Indiana
Big Ten
16
24-8
354
6762
16
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
20
24-10
354
6322
17
North Carolina
ACC
4
29-5
352
6963
18
Kansas State
Big 12
37
21-10
350
5944
19
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
24-7
345
5370
20
Michigan
Big Ten
13
23-8
344
5700
21
Minnesota
Big Ten
19-14
342
5283
22
Purdue
Big Ten
20-12
341
5658
23
Virginia Commonwealth
Colonial Athletic
31
28-6
341
5495
24
Creighton
Missouri Valley
19
28-5
338
5514
25
Baylor
Big 12
9
26-7
337
5724
26
Brigham Young
West Coast
25-9
336
5687
27
Florida
Southeastern
25
23-10
336
5362
28
Iowa State
Big 12
31
22-10
336
5356
29
Connecticut
Big East
20-13
336
5127
30
South Florida
Big East
20-13
336
4199
31
Duke
ACC
8
26-7
335
5466
32
Texas
Big 12
20-13
335
5338
33
Alabama
Southeastern
21-11
332
4502
34
Temple
Atlantic 10
26
25-7
331
5586
35
Florida State
ACC
10
24-9
331
5134
36
St. Mary's
West Coast
24
25-5
329
4933
37
Belmont
Atlantic Sun
26-7
328
5384
38
UNLV
Mountain West
23
26-8
328
5144
39
Cincinnati
Big East
27
23-11
327
4761
40
Murray State
Ohio Valley
12
28-1
326
4829
41
Iona
MAAC
25-8
324
5439
42
West Virginia
Big East
19-13
324
4564
43
Notre Dame
Big East
28
23-11
324
4190
44
Virginia
ACC
34
21-10
324
3903
45
Miami (Fla.)
ACC
19-12
323
4592
46
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
33
27-6
322
4335
47
Harvard
Ivy League
36
25-4
321
4015
48
New Mexico State
Western Athletic
25-9
320
4964
49
North Carolina State
ACC
22-12
319
4650
50
Seton Hall
Big East
20-12
319
4246
51
La Salle
Atlantic 10
22-13
316
4975
52
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
38
20-11
313
4257
53
Southern Miss
Conference USA
24-8
312
4231
54
Santa Barbara
Big West
18-10
312
4068
55
Oral Roberts
Summit League
26-5
310
4724
56
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
20-13
310
4146
57
Dayton
Atlantic 10
20-12
308
3921
58
Tennessee
Southeastern
18-14
307
3816
59
Gonzaga
West Coast
30
26-6
306
3739
60
Ohio
Mid-American
26-7
305
3985
61
Georgia State
Colonial Athletic
21-11
304
3599
62
Cleveland State
Horizon League
21-9
302
3866
63
San Diego State
Mountain West
22
24-7
302
3791
64
Clemson
ACC
16-15
302
3530
65
Middle Tennessee
Sun Belt
24-6
301
3849
66
Xavier
Atlantic 10
21-12
301
3758
67
Fairfield
MAAC
19-14
301
3495
68
Lamar
Southland
21-12
300
3919
69
Mississippi
Southeastern
20-13
299
3337
70
Northwestern
Big Ten
18-13
297
3749
71
Tulsa
Conference USA
17-13
297
3642
72
Pittsburgh
Big East
17-16
296
3379
73
California
Pac 12
24-10
292
3494
74
Old Dominion
Colonial Athletic
19-12
290
3068
75
Montana
Big Sky
25-6
289
2884
76
Vermont
American East
24-11
288
2871
77
Colorado State
Mountain West
20-11
287
3202
78
Bucknell
Patriot League
24-9
286
3196
79
Pennsylvania
Ivy League
19-12
285
3298
80
Oregon
Pac 12
23-8
285
3264
81
Princeton
Ivy League
18-11
284
2874
82
American
Patriot League
20-10
280
3370
83
Arizona
Pac 12
23-11
279
2802
84
Illinois
Big Ten
17-14
278
3033
85
Illinois State
Missouri Valley
20-13
278
2958
86
Wyoming
Mountain West
18-11
278
2533
87
Detroit
Horizon League
20-13
277
3245
88
Akron
Mid-American
21-11
277
2918
89
Denver
Sun Belt
22-9
277
2528
90
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
22-11
276
3019
91
Richmond
Atlantic 10
16-16
276
2945
92
Marshall
Conference USA
19-13
275
3151
93
UCLA
Pac 12
19-14
275
2807
94
Virginia Tech
ACC
16-17
274
2580
95
San Francisco
West Coast
18-13
270
2612
96
Davidson
Southern
24-7
269
3080
97
Nevada
Western Athletic
25-6
268
2722
98
UAB
Conference USA
15-16
268
2504
99
UCF
Conference USA
20-10
268
2395
100
Bowling Green
Mid-American
15-15
268
2208
101
Cal Poly
Big West
17-15
267
2187
102
Villanova
Big East
14-19
266
2385
103
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
17-13
265
2206
104
Buffalo
Mid-American
18-10
263
2692
105
Oklahoma State
Big 12
14-18
262
2947
106
Penn State
Big Ten
11-21
262
2552
107
Mercer
Atlantic Sun
21-11
262
2046
108
Butler
Horizon League
20-14
261
2186
109
Loyola-Marymount
West Coast
18-11
261
2109
110
Evansville
Missouri Valley
16-15
260
2558
111
Iowa
Big Ten
17-16
259
2597
112
East Carolina
Conference USA
13-16
256
2193
113
Drake
Missouri Valley
16-15
254
1851
114
Lehigh
Patriot League
25-7
253
2407
115
Tennessee State
Ohio Valley
18-12
253
1985
116
Colorado
Pac 12
22-11
252
2053
117
South Dakota State
Summit League
23-7
251
2044
118
Washington
Pac 12
21-11
250
2240
119
Rutgers
Big East
14-17
250
1775
120
Stanford
Pac 12
20-11
249
1880
121
Oklahoma
Big 12
15-16
248
1934
122
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
15-15
246
2207
123
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
16-12
244
1748
124
Missouri State
Missouri Valley
15-16
244
1678
125
Stony Brook
American East
21-9
244
1574
126
Texas-El Paso
Conference USA
14-16
240
1621
127
Kent State
Mid-American
20-11
238
1656
128
Loyola-Maryland
MAAC
24-8
237
1858
129
Louisiana Tech
Western Athletic
17-16
237
1645
130
Utah State
Western Athletic
17-15
237
1555
131
Maryland
ACC
17-15
235
1888
132
Texas-Arlington
Southland
23-9
235
1717
133
Mississippi State
Southeastern
21-11
235
1589
134
Georgia
Southeastern
15-17
234
1379
135
Providence
Big East
15-17
233
1716
136
South Carolina Upstate
Atlantic Sun
19-12
232
1634
137
Manhattan
MAAC
19-11
232
1568
138
North Texas
Sun Belt
17-14
232
1469
139
Charlotte
Atlantic 10
13-17
230
1494
140
DePaul
Big East
13-19
229
1548
141
LSU
Southeastern
18-14
229
1504
142
Savannah State
MEAC
19-11
226
1401
143
Rice
Conference USA
14-15
225
1389
144
Indiana State
Missouri Valley
17-14
225
1363
145
Valparaiso
Horizon League
21-11
224
1364
146
Youngstown State
Horizon League
14-15
223
1303
147
Weber State
Big Sky
24-6
222
1148
148
Yale
Ivy League
17-9
221
1222
149
Cornell
Ivy League
11-16
219
1291
150
NC-Asheville
Big South
22-9
219
1146
151
Nebraska
Big Ten
12-17
218
1282
152
George Mason
Colonial Athletic
24-9
216
1247
153
Texas A&M
Big 12
13-18
216
1114
154
Jacksonville State
Ohio Valley
14-17
216
1103
155
TCU
Mountain West
16-14
214
1167
156
Boise State
Mountain West
12-17
213
993
157
Quinnipiac
Northeast
18-13
211
1169
158
Southern Utah
Summit League
11-16
211
1132
159
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon League
19-13
211
916
160
Fresno State
Western Athletic
12-19
211
868
161
E. Tennessee State
Atlantic Sun
17-14
209
855
162
Wagner
Northeast
25-6
208
1055
163
Green Bay
Horizon League
13-15
207
1053
164
Oregon State
Pac 12
20-14
206
1053
165
Idaho
Western Athletic
16-13
203
888
166
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
18-13
202
825
167
Tulane
Conference USA
14-16
202
740
168
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
13-20
201
803
169
Western Illinois
Summit League
14-14
200
840
170
South Carolina
Southeastern
10-21
200
673
171
St. John's
Big East
13-19
196
761
172
Robert Morris
Northeast
24-10
196
680
173
Boston University
American East
16-16
194
607
174
Norfolk State
MEAC
23-8
194
591
175
Morehead State
Ohio Valley
16-15
192
518
176
Oakland
Summit League
16-14
192
482
177
LIU-Brooklyn
Northeast
25-8
191
687
178
Cal State Fullerton
Big West
19-9
191
641
179
Auburn
Southeastern
16-16
190
558
180
Holy Cross
Patriot League
15-15
190
425
181
Arkansas-Little Rock
Sun Belt
14-16
189
466
182
Western Kentucky
Sun Belt
16-18
188
476
183
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
13-17
186
371
184
Albany
American East
19-14
184
189
185
Arkansas
Southeastern
18-14
183
382
186
Southeast Missouri State
Ohio Valley
13-16
183
327
187
Western Michigan
Mid-American
13-19
182
330
188
Niagara
MAAC
14-20
182
270
189
IUPUI
Summit League
12-17
180
416
190
Columbia
Ivy League
13-15
179
227
191
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
9-21
178
169
192
Texas-San Antonio
Southland
16-14
177
119
193
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
6-24
175
289
194
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
14-17
174
206
195
Rider
MAAC
13-19
174
148
196
Seattle
Independent
10-15
173
136
197
Miami (Ohio)
Mid-American
8-21
171
107
198
Southern Methodist
Conference USA
12-19
171
-21
199
Mississippi Valley State
SWAC
21-13
170
228
200
South Alabama
Sun Belt
16-12
170
39
201
Houston
Conference USA
14-15
170
-89
202
Pacific
Big West
8-17
169
-79
203
Toledo
Mid-American
17-16
169
-106
204
Georgia Tech
ACC
11-20
168
150
205
St. Francis (N.Y.)
Northeast
15-15
167
-1
206
McNeese State
Southland
15-15
166
150
207
Western Carolina
Southern
15-18
166
-101
208
North Dakota State
Summit League
17-11
166
-114
209
Charleston Southern
Big South
17-12
166
-251
210
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
18-13
165
-192
211
North Carolina Central
MEAC
13-15
163
-143
212
College of Charleston
Southern
19-12
160
-294
213
Air Force
Mountain West
10-16
159
-352
214
San Diego
West Coast
13-18
158
-206
215
George Washington
Atlantic 10
10-21
157
-208
216
Ball State
Mid-American
14-15
157
-258
217
Alaska-Anchorage
None (Div 2)
1-2
155
-286
218
VMI
Big South
16-15
155
-577
219
Lafayette
Patriot League
13-19
155
-676
220
Northwestern State
Southland
13-16
154
-402
221
Coastal Carolina
Big South
15-11
152
-169
222
Siena
MAAC
14-17
148
-431
223
Portland State
Big Sky
15-15
148
-652
224
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
15-16
146
-645
225
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
13-17
145
-946
226
Wright State
Horizon League
12-19
144
-482
227
Louisiana-Lafayette
Sun Belt
16-15
143
-516
228
Washington State
Pac 12
14-16
142
-474
229
Florida Atlantic
Sun Belt
10-19
141
-827
230
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
8-22
140
-629
231
Marist
MAAC
14-18
140
-862
232
California Irvine
Big West
10-19
138
-663
233
Morgan State
MEAC
9-20
138
-741
234
Florida International
Sun Belt
8-20
138
-775
235
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
12-20
137
-702
236
Utah Valley
Great West
18-12
137
-886
237
Delaware State
MEAC
13-14
136
-837
238
Hawaii
Western Athletic
14-16
135
-816
239
Wake Forest
ACC
13-18
134
-872
240
Wofford
Southern
18-13
133
-926
241
Central Connecticut State
Northeast
12-16
131
-981
242
Presbyterian
Big South
14-15
130
-883
243
Georgia Southern
Southern
14-15
128
-940
244
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
12-18
128
-1090
245
NC-Greensboro
Southern
12-18
126
-1299
246
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
5-25
126
-1318
247
Chattanooga
Southern
8-21
125
-1234
248
Bethune-Cookman
MEAC
17-17
125
-1238
249
NC-Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
10-21
118
-1512
250
Loyola-Chicago
Horizon League
6-23
117
-1340
251
Fordham
Atlantic 10
10-19
117
-1560
252
Elon
Southern
13-16
117
-1738
253
North Dakota
Great West
15-14
116
-1392
254
High Point
Big South
11-18
116
-1529
255
San Jose State
Western Athletic
7-22
115
-1435
256
Bradley
Missouri Valley
7-25
114
-1815
257
New Jersey Tech
Great West
11-17
113
-1727
258
Texas State-San Marcos
Southland
9-17
113
-1785
259
Boston College
ACC
9-21
111
-1469
260
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
11-20
111
-1563
261
Hampton
MEAC
11-21
110
-1477
262
Furman
Southern
14-16
109
-1571
263
Appalachian State
Southern
12-18
109
-1754
264
Sacred Heart
Northeast
14-18
107
-1437
265
Cal State Bakersfield
Independent
17-15
106
-1583
266
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
8-23
105
-1576
267
Sam Houston State
Southland
10-19
104
-1612
268
Texas Tech
Big 12
8-23
104
-1818
269
Coppin State
MEAC
11-16
101
-1835
270
Central Michigan
Mid-American
9-21
100
-1810
271
Monmouth
Northeast
12-20
99
-1839
272
Army
Patriot League
11-17
99
-2494
273
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
14-18
98
-1756
274
Hartford
American East
9-21
98
-1797
275
Samford
Southern
10-19
98
-1928
276
Liberty
Big South
12-18
98
-1966
277
Texas Southern
SWAC
15-18
98
-2028
278
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
8-20
97
-2054
279
Brown
Ivy League
7-23
91
-2391
280
Troy
Sun Belt
9-18
90
-2390
281
California Riverside
Big West
12-15
89
-1870
282
New Hampshire
American East
12-16
89
-2138
283
Campbell
Big South
16-15
88
-2337
284
Santa Clara
West Coast
6-21
88
-2456
285
Winthrop
Big South
12-20
87
-1849
286
Maine
American East
11-17
87
-2015
287
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
8-18
86
-2280
288
Arizona State
Pac 12
10-21
86
-2286
289
Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
14-16
86
-2452
290
Dartmouth
Ivy League
5-25
83
-2405
291
Illinois-Chicago
Horizon League
7-22
81
-2499
292
Northridge
Big West
6-20
80
-2521
293
Gardner-Webb
Big South
10-19
79
-2534
294
Canisius
MAAC
5-24
78
-2826
295
St. Peter's
MAAC
5-26
74
-2620
296
Sacramento State
Big Sky
9-18
73
-3100
297
North Carolina A&T
MEAC
9-20
72
-2882
298
Southern California
Pac 12
6-26
70
-2514
299
West Alabama
None (Div 2)
0-4
70
-2794
300
Navy
Patriot League
2-26
69
-3113
301
Florida A&M
MEAC
8-24
69
-3184
302
SIU-Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
8-17
69
-3462
303
Montana Tech
None (Div 2)
0-3
65
-2754
304
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
11-17
64
-3113
305
Cal State San Marcos
None (Div 2)
0-3
64
-3182
306
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Southland
6-23
64
-3260
307
Montana State
Big Sky
11-17
64
-3310
308
Idaho State
Big Sky
8-21
63
-3404
309
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
7-20
62
-3271
310
Portland
West Coast
6-24
60
-3379
311
Texas-Pan American
Great West
8-22
60
-3388
312
Southern
SWAC
15-14
58
-3422
313
Southeastern Louisiana
Southland
10-17
58
-3462
314
South Dakota
Summit League
8-18
58
-3666
315
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
4-27
54
-3490
316
IPFW
Summit League
10-18
54
-3623
317
Radford
Big South
5-26
53
-3595
318
Pepperdine
West Coast
10-19
51
-3395
319
UMKC
Summit League
8-20
51
-3788
320
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC
11-22
51
-4345
321
Houston Baptist
Great West
8-20
50
-4034
322
St. Francis (Pa.)
Northeast
6-23
50
-4237
323
Utah
Pac 12
6-25
49
-3601
324
Louisiana-Monroe
Sun Belt
3-25
48
-4101
325
Alcorn State
SWAC
7-22
47
-4236
326
Howard
MEAC
9-21
46
-4061
327
Nicholls State
Southland
9-20
46
-4759
328
Alabama State
SWAC
10-18
45
-3619
329
Jackson State
SWAC
6-24
44
-3823
330
Kennesaw State
Atlantic Sun
3-27
43
-4208
331
The Citadel
Southern
4-24
42
-4015
332
Binghamton
American East
2-29
40
-4270
333
Colgate
Patriot League
8-21
40
-4981
334
Prairie View A&M
SWAC
12-18
39
-4626
335
Alabama A&M
SWAC
5-21
38
-4607
336
California Davis
Big West
3-26
37
-4833
337
Longwood
Independent
7-20
37
-5307
338
Central Arkansas
Southland
6-20
37
-5403
339
Chicago State
Great West
3-26
32
-5435
340
Maryland-Eastern Shore
MEAC
6-22
31
-4981
341
Towson
Colonial Athletic
1-30
30
-4949
342
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
3-26
30
-5317
343
South Carolina State
MEAC
4-27
28
-5692
344
Bryant University
Northeast
2-28
27
-6085
345
Maryland-Baltimore County
American East
4-26
26
-5979
346
Tennessee-Martin
Ohio Valley
3-26
25
-5708
347
Nebraska Omaha
None (Div 2)
1-15
25
-6841
348
New Orleans
None (Div 2)
1-6
21
-5923
349
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
4-24
20
-6490
350
Reinhardt
None (Div 2)
0-3
19
-7916
351
Chaminade
None (Div 2)
0-3
19
-10231
352
Menlo College
None (Div 2)
0-3
18
-7228
353
Webber International
None (Div 2)
0-3
16
-7555
354
Grambling
SWAC
4-24
16
-7558
355
San Diego Christian
None (Div 2)
0-3
15
-9050
356
Oakland City
None (Div 2)
0-3
14
-9273
357
Virginia-Wise
None (Div 2)
0-6
12
-12481
358
Milligan
None (Div 2)
0-5
10
-12500
359
Rochester (MI)
None (Div 2)
0-3
9
-10071
360
Spring Hill
None (Div 2)
0-4
9
-10899
361
Mayville State
None (Div 2)
0-3
9
-10971
362
Montreat College
None (Div 2)
0-4
8
-15729
363
Victory
None (Div 2)
0-3
6
-15007
364
Central Pennsylvania
None (Div 2)
0-3
6
-16860
365
La Sierra
None (Div 2)
0-3
5
-13398
366
Northern New Mexico
None (Div 2)
0-4
5
-14795
367
Dallas Christian
None (Div 2)
0-4
2
-14952
368
Pomona Pitzer
None (Div 2)
0-3
1
-14435
369
Dillard
None (Div 2)
0-4
0
-16658
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