Kimball Rankings
College Basketball Analysis Using a Calibrated Unbiased Numerical Computer Model
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This website was last updated on February 11, 2012
Note that just because a team is ranked higher than another doesn't mean the Kimball Basketball Model would expect it to win.
See our other pages for more details.
Kimball Rank
Team
Conference
AP Rank
Record
Modeled Wins
Modeled Margin
1
Kentucky
Southeastern
1
24-1
367
10180
2
Ohio State
Big Ten
3
21-3
366
9637
3
Kansas
Big 12
7
18-6
364
9048
4
Syracuse
Big East
2
24-1
363
8097
5
Missouri
Big 12
4
22-2
359
8478
6
Georgetown
Big East
12
19-4
359
7088
7
Wisconsin
Big Ten
21
19-6
359
6080
8
New Mexico
Mountain West
33
19-4
358
7041
9
Indiana
Big Ten
23
18-6
357
7296
10
Michigan State
Big Ten
11
19-5
356
7247
11
Duke
ACC
10
19-5
354
7138
12
Memphis
Conference USA
17-6
354
6739
13
North Carolina
ACC
5
20-4
351
7023
14
Notre Dame
Big East
26
17-8
351
5670
15
Marquette
Big East
18
19-5
349
6311
16
Texas
Big 12
15-9
347
5972
17
Louisville
Big East
24
19-5
346
6015
18
Michigan
Big Ten
22
17-6
346
5375
19
Alabama
Southeastern
16-7
346
5261
20
Virginia
ACC
19
18-5
346
5207
21
Kansas State
Big 12
34
17-6
345
6262
22
West Virginia
Big East
16-9
345
5841
23
UNLV
Mountain West
14
21-4
344
6286
24
Cincinnati
Big East
16-8
344
5809
25
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
18-5
344
5480
26
Wichita State
Missouri Valley
31
20-4
343
6067
27
Miami (Fla.)
ACC
38
15-7
341
5903
28
Baylor
Big 12
6
20-3
340
5807
29
Temple
Atlantic 10
29
19-5
339
6027
30
Southern Miss
Conference USA
28
19-4
336
5658
31
St. Mary's
West Coast
16
20-3
333
5516
32
Minnesota
Big Ten
17-8
333
4845
33
Iowa State
Big 12
27
17-7
332
5442
34
Brigham Young
West Coast
38
19-6
331
5840
35
Gonzaga
West Coast
30
19-4
331
5430
36
Virginia Commonwealth
Colonial Athletic
21-5
330
5012
37
Iona
MAAC
35
19-6
328
5802
38
California
Pac 12
19-6
328
4932
39
Oral Roberts
Summit League
22-5
327
5925
40
Florida State
ACC
15
16-7
327
4844
41
North Carolina State
ACC
18-7
325
4985
42
Connecticut
Big East
15-8
325
4729
43
Purdue
Big Ten
15-9
324
4739
44
Montana
Big Sky
17-6
324
4663
45
Florida
Southeastern
8
19-5
322
4840
46
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
35
17-7
321
4881
47
Creighton
Missouri Valley
17
21-4
320
4699
48
Pittsburgh
Big East
15-10
320
4464
49
Illinois
Big Ten
16-7
320
4441
50
Harvard
Ivy League
25
20-2
320
4309
51
Belmont
Atlantic Sun
17-7
318
5039
52
Arizona
Pac 12
17-8
317
4372
53
Long Beach State
Big West
32
15-6
315
4338
54
Seton Hall
Big East
16-8
314
4110
55
San Diego State
Mountain West
13
18-3
312
4167
56
La Salle
Atlantic 10
18-9
307
5058
57
Wyoming
Mountain West
16-5
306
3858
58
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
20-5
306
3823
59
Akron
Mid-American
16-7
303
3738
60
Northwestern
Big Ten
15-8
302
4370
61
UCLA
Pac 12
14-10
302
3885
62
Cleveland State
Horizon League
35
19-4
300
3771
63
Villanova
Big East
11-13
299
4066
64
New Mexico State
Western Athletic
16-8
297
3986
65
Xavier
Atlantic 10
16-8
297
3726
66
Georgia State
Colonial Athletic
17-8
296
3688
67
Tulsa
Conference USA
14-10
294
3480
68
Denver
Sun Belt
17-8
293
3658
69
Middle Tennessee
Sun Belt
21-4
292
3615
70
LSU
Southeastern
13-10
291
3207
71
Missouri State
Missouri Valley
14-11
290
3370
72
Buffalo
Mid-American
14-6
289
3346
73
Lamar
Southland
14-8
288
3875
74
UCF
Conference USA
15-6
287
3014
75
Mississippi State
Southeastern
20
19-5
286
3277
76
South Florida
Big East
13-10
285
3072
77
Texas A&M
Big 12
11-11
285
3025
78
Clemson
ACC
11-12
285
3023
79
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
18-6
284
3602
80
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
15-10
284
3184
81
Dayton
Atlantic 10
14-9
283
3192
82
Kent State
Mid-American
16-6
281
3480
83
UAB
Conference USA
10-13
281
3072
84
Ohio
Mid-American
18-5
280
2910
85
Providence
Big East
13-12
279
3464
86
Murray State
Ohio Valley
9
21-1
279
3196
87
Oklahoma
Big 12
13-10
279
3167
88
Mercer
Atlantic Sun
19-7
277
2973
89
Mississippi
Southeastern
14-9
276
2795
90
Rutgers
Big East
12-13
275
2986
91
Santa Barbara
Big West
10-8
275
2775
92
American
Patriot League
16-7
274
3064
93
Bowling Green
Mid-American
11-11
274
2878
94
Iowa
Big Ten
13-12
273
3226
95
Illinois State
Missouri Valley
16-9
273
2928
96
Virginia Tech
ACC
13-11
272
2725
97
Stanford
Pac 12
15-8
269
2547
98
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
12-9
268
2714
99
Pennsylvania
Ivy League
12-11
267
2860
100
Maryland
ACC
14-9
267
2778
101
Marshall
Conference USA
13-10
265
2799
102
Nevada
Western Athletic
19-4
265
2623
103
Cal Poly
Big West
13-10
265
2385
104
Bucknell
Patriot League
19-6
264
2559
105
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
13-9
263
3033
106
Davidson
Southern
18-5
263
2912
107
Fairfield
MAAC
14-10
262
2732
108
Evansville
Missouri Valley
12-12
261
2720
109
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
14-10
261
2415
110
Wagner
Northeast
20-4
259
2823
111
San Francisco
West Coast
15-10
259
2690
112
Colorado State
Mountain West
15-7
257
2655
113
Arkansas
Southeastern
16-8
256
2812
114
Tennessee
Southeastern
12-12
255
2186
115
Oregon
Pac 12
18-6
254
2698
116
Manhattan
MAAC
17-8
254
2247
117
Oklahoma State
Big 12
11-12
253
2508
118
Colorado
Pac 12
15-8
252
2486
119
St. John's
Big East
10-14
251
2324
120
Texas-Arlington
Southland
17-6
250
2426
121
Valparaiso
Horizon League
17-8
250
2404
122
East Carolina
Conference USA
10-11
250
2338
123
Stony Brook
American East
16-7
248
1858
124
Charlotte
Atlantic 10
11-11
246
2311
125
Loyola-Maryland
MAAC
19-5
244
2056
126
Texas-El Paso
Conference USA
10-13
238
1926
127
Loyola-Marymount
West Coast
15-9
238
1877
128
Nebraska
Big Ten
11-12
238
1866
129
Penn State
Big Ten
9-16
237
1829
130
Southern Utah
Summit League
11-12
236
2198
131
Old Dominion
Colonial Athletic
15-9
236
1743
132
Indiana State
Missouri Valley
13-11
236
1720
133
TCU
Mountain West
12-10
235
1905
134
Utah State
Western Athletic
13-12
235
1831
135
Hawaii
Western Athletic
11-10
233
2113
136
Weber State
Big Sky
19-4
233
1953
137
South Dakota State
Summit League
17-7
232
1758
138
Richmond
Atlantic 10
13-12
231
1774
139
South Carolina
Southeastern
9-14
229
1500
140
Georgia
Southeastern
11-12
229
1482
141
Boise State
Mountain West
9-12
228
1614
142
Georgia Tech
ACC
9-15
227
1781
143
Tulane
Conference USA
14-8
227
1436
144
DePaul
Big East
12-12
223
1531
145
Niagara
MAAC
10-16
221
1523
146
Rice
Conference USA
11-11
221
1421
147
E. Tennessee State
Atlantic Sun
12-11
221
1309
148
Texas-San Antonio
Southland
14-9
220
1394
149
Detroit
Horizon League
12-12
219
1568
150
Oregon State
Pac 12
16-9
218
1489
151
Washington
Pac 12
16-9
217
1473
152
North Texas
Sun Belt
13-10
217
1271
153
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon League
14-11
214
1146
154
Lehigh
Patriot League
17-7
213
1248
155
Cornell
Ivy League
8-12
213
1141
156
Washington State
Pac 12
12-11
212
1153
157
Pacific
Big West
6-13
210
1152
158
Coastal Carolina
Big South
13-7
208
1113
159
Arkansas-Little Rock
Sun Belt
11-13
207
1030
160
Cal State Fullerton
Big West
14-7
206
1084
161
Youngstown State
Horizon League
11-11
206
979
162
South Carolina Upstate
Atlantic Sun
14-10
205
1247
163
Butler
Horizon League
14-12
205
1007
164
NC-Asheville
Big South
16-7
205
842
165
Vermont
American East
16-10
204
928
166
Fresno State
Western Athletic
10-14
204
863
167
George Mason
Colonial Athletic
20-6
202
1066
168
Drake
Missouri Valley
12-12
201
877
169
Boston University
American East
14-13
201
788
170
Idaho
Western Athletic
12-11
199
944
171
Southern Methodist
Conference USA
10-13
193
570
172
Louisiana Tech
Western Athletic
10-13
193
508
173
Auburn
Southeastern
14-11
191
530
174
Quinnipiac
Northeast
14-10
190
606
175
Louisiana-Lafayette
Sun Belt
14-12
189
642
176
Savannah State
MEAC
12-10
189
565
177
North Dakota State
Summit League
15-8
187
461
178
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
11-13
187
441
179
Green Bay
Horizon League
8-13
185
522
180
Rider
MAAC
11-15
185
488
181
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
12-12
184
394
182
George Washington
Atlantic 10
8-16
183
394
183
Charleston Southern
Big South
12-10
183
247
184
Ball State
Mid-American
11-10
181
283
185
Northwestern State
Southland
11-10
181
223
186
Florida Atlantic
Sun Belt
9-14
181
214
187
Air Force
Mountain West
8-10
179
265
188
Tennessee State
Ohio Valley
14-10
178
232
189
Campbell
Big South
16-11
177
149
190
College of Charleston
Southern
15-10
176
269
191
Jacksonville State
Ohio Valley
10-15
175
123
192
Western Illinois
Summit League
11-10
174
46
193
Mississippi Valley State
SWAC
12-11
173
65
194
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
8-16
171
94
195
San Diego
West Coast
10-14
171
69
196
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
11-12
170
-64
197
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
9-10
169
126
198
Princeton
Ivy League
11-10
169
85
199
South Alabama
Sun Belt
12-10
167
60
200
LIU-Brooklyn
Northeast
18-7
167
11
201
Southeast Missouri State
Ohio Valley
11-11
167
-87
202
Delaware State
MEAC
7-11
164
-117
203
St. Francis (N.Y.)
Northeast
13-11
164
-139
204
North Carolina Central
MEAC
8-11
164
-186
205
Oakland
Summit League
12-13
164
-224
206
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
7-17
163
-270
207
Yale
Ivy League
13-6
162
-73
208
Western Michigan
Mid-American
9-14
162
-74
209
Robert Morris
Northeast
18-8
161
-179
210
Boston College
ACC
8-15
160
-323
211
Alaska-Anchorage
None (Div 2)
1-2
159
-210
212
Texas Tech
Big 12
7-16
158
-192
213
Toledo
Mid-American
10-13
158
-444
214
Columbia
Ivy League
12-9
155
-296
215
Portland State
Big Sky
10-12
155
-396
216
Albany
American East
15-12
155
-698
217
Chattanooga
Southern
7-16
154
-470
218
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
10-13
152
-543
219
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
15-10
151
-515
220
Wofford
Southern
14-11
150
-301
221
Siena
MAAC
10-14
150
-560
222
Western Kentucky
Sun Belt
8-16
149
-473
223
Florida International
Sun Belt
7-15
149
-549
224
McNeese State
Southland
9-10
148
-556
225
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
9-16
147
-540
226
Miami (Ohio)
Mid-American
6-15
146
-440
227
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
12-13
146
-556
228
Utah Valley
Great West
14-10
146
-585
229
California Riverside
Big West
9-11
145
-527
230
Presbyterian
Big South
11-13
145
-600
231
Lafayette
Patriot League
11-14
145
-889
232
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
4-20
143
-731
233
Georgia Southern
Southern
11-12
143
-837
234
Texas Southern
SWAC
7-15
142
-604
235
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
9-13
141
-849
236
Wright State
Horizon League
10-15
139
-773
237
Norfolk State
MEAC
16-7
136
-880
238
San Jose State
Western Athletic
6-16
133
-1144
239
Seattle
Independent
5-14
126
-1160
240
NC-Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
9-15
125
-1403
241
Wake Forest
ACC
11-13
124
-1235
242
California Irvine
Big West
7-14
123
-1364
243
Houston
Conference USA
10-12
121
-1408
244
Holy Cross
Patriot League
10-14
120
-1421
245
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
9-16
119
-1688
246
Troy
Sun Belt
6-15
118
-1421
247
Bradley
Missouri Valley
7-19
118
-1564
248
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
9-17
116
-1402
249
Coppin State
MEAC
9-11
116
-1644
250
Furman
Southern
11-13
115
-1803
251
IUPUI
Summit League
8-16
114
-1369
252
Fordham
Atlantic 10
9-13
114
-1653
253
New Jersey Tech
Great West
6-13
114
-1672
254
Bethune-Cookman
MEAC
10-14
114
-1769
255
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
10-14
113
-1398
256
Samford
Southern
8-15
113
-1542
257
Morgan State
MEAC
5-16
112
-1663
258
Southern California
Pac 12
6-19
111
-1313
259
VMI
Big South
11-11
109
-2323
260
Arizona State
Pac 12
8-16
108
-1515
261
Appalachian State
Southern
9-14
108
-2130
262
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
7-16
108
-2142
263
Marist
MAAC
9-15
107
-1961
264
Central Michigan
Mid-American
6-16
106
-1800
265
High Point
Big South
8-15
105
-1885
266
Texas State-San Marcos
Southland
5-14
104
-2229
267
Army
Patriot League
9-13
104
-2325
268
Gardner-Webb
Big South
8-15
102
-1792
269
St. Peter's
MAAC
5-20
102
-1861
270
UMKC
Summit League
8-15
101
-1826
271
NC-Greensboro
Southern
9-15
101
-2330
272
New Hampshire
American East
8-14
99
-1822
273
Santa Clara
West Coast
6-15
99
-2037
274
Winthrop
Big South
10-16
98
-1641
275
Elon
Southern
11-11
98
-2342
276
Sacred Heart
Northeast
12-14
96
-2391
277
Sacramento State
Big Sky
8-14
92
-2214
278
Cal State Bakersfield
Independent
12-14
90
-2091
279
Illinois-Chicago
Horizon League
6-16
90
-2098
280
Liberty
Big South
8-16
90
-2170
281
North Dakota
Great West
9-12
89
-2149
282
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
5-20
88
-2474
283
Morehead State
Ohio Valley
11-13
86
-2228
284
Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
12-12
86
-2572
285
Florida A&M
MEAC
5-18
86
-2738
286
Central Connecticut State
Northeast
9-13
85
-2409
287
Canisius
MAAC
4-20
85
-2612
288
Maine
American East
10-12
85
-2635
289
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
6-15
84
-2381
290
Portland
West Coast
5-19
83
-2523
291
North Carolina A&T
MEAC
7-15
83
-2763
292
Pepperdine
West Coast
8-16
82
-2085
293
Montana State
Big Sky
10-12
81
-2756
294
Western Carolina
Southern
9-16
81
-2805
295
Hampton
MEAC
7-15
79
-2618
296
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Southland
4-19
78
-2950
297
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
9-14
77
-2432
298
Idaho State
Big Sky
7-16
76
-3040
299
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
3-21
76
-3316
300
South Dakota
Summit League
7-14
75
-2873
301
Sam Houston State
Southland
6-15
73
-2623
302
SIU-Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
5-14
72
-3173
303
Dartmouth
Ivy League
4-19
69
-3067
304
Northridge
Big West
5-15
68
-3168
305
Loyola-Chicago
Horizon League
4-18
64
-2873
306
Prairie View A&M
SWAC
8-13
61
-3400
307
Southern
SWAC
11-11
60
-3364
308
IPFW
Summit League
9-14
60
-3383
309
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
5-17
59
-3325
310
Colgate
Patriot League
7-16
59
-4100
311
Cal State San Marcos
None (Div 2)
0-3
58
-3183
312
Hartford
American East
5-18
58
-3303
313
Radford
Big South
4-21
58
-3479
314
Houston Baptist
Great West
6-16
57
-4085
315
St. Francis (Pa.)
Northeast
5-19
56
-4232
316
Monmouth
Northeast
8-18
55
-3867
317
West Alabama
None (Div 2)
0-4
54
-3670
318
Navy
Patriot League
2-20
53
-3818
319
Central Arkansas
Southland
5-14
53
-4413
320
Louisiana-Monroe
Sun Belt
2-21
52
-3683
321
Kennesaw State
Atlantic Sun
3-22
52
-3840
322
Texas-Pan American
Great West
6-18
52
-3926
323
Nicholls State
Southland
6-16
52
-4437
324
Brown
Ivy League
6-17
46
-4522
325
California Davis
Big West
1-21
46
-4578
326
Longwood
Independent
6-14
43
-5117
327
Tennessee-Martin
Ohio Valley
2-22
42
-4851
328
Alabama State
SWAC
6-14
41
-3970
329
Utah
Pac 12
5-19
41
-4056
330
Howard
MEAC
5-18
40
-4763
331
Southeastern Louisiana
Southland
6-14
39
-4176
332
Maryland-Eastern Shore
MEAC
4-16
39
-4617
333
The Citadel
Southern
2-20
39
-4750
334
Alabama A&M
SWAC
3-15
35
-4823
335
Jackson State
SWAC
4-18
33
-4856
336
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2-20
33
-5155
337
Bryant University
Northeast
2-23
33
-5300
338
Nebraska Omaha
None (Div 2)
1-12
33
-6076
339
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC
5-19
31
-6147
340
Chicago State
Great West
2-22
31
-6150
341
South Carolina State
MEAC
4-19
28
-6277
342
Maryland-Baltimore County
American East
3-21
27
-6150
343
Towson
Colonial Athletic
1-25
27
-6366
344
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2-22
24
-6104
345
Alcorn State
SWAC
4-16
24
-6514
346
Reinhardt
None (Div 2)
0-3
21
-7906
347
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
4-20
20
-6103
348
Menlo College
None (Div 2)
0-3
19
-6766
349
Binghamton
American East
0-23
19
-7000
350
Chaminade
None (Div 2)
0-3
18
-10360
351
Grambling
SWAC
3-18
17
-7017
352
Webber International
None (Div 2)
0-3
17
-8037
353
Virginia-Wise
None (Div 2)
0-5
16
-9619
354
San Diego Christian
None (Div 2)
0-3
15
-9200
355
New Orleans
None (Div 2)
1-5
14
-8334
356
Mayville State
None (Div 2)
0-3
13
-10505
357
Oakland City
None (Div 2)
0-3
12
-10659
358
Rochester (MI)
None (Div 2)
0-3
9
-9667
359
Milligan
None (Div 2)
0-5
9
-12456
360
Spring Hill
None (Div 2)
0-4
8
-11345
361
Central Pennsylvania
None (Div 2)
0-3
7
-16610
362
Victory
None (Div 2)
0-3
6
-16268
363
La Sierra
None (Div 2)
0-3
5
-15178
364
Dallas Christian
None (Div 2)
0-4
5
-15468
365
Montreat College
None (Div 2)
0-4
5
-17774
366
Pomona Pitzer
None (Div 2)
0-3
2
-13762
367
Northern New Mexico
None (Div 2)
0-3
1
-18529
368
Dillard
None (Div 2)
0-4
0
-16889
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