Kimball Rankings
College Basketball Analysis Using a Calibrated Unbiased Numerical Computer Model
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Percentages will be updated once the tournament season has begun.
Kimball Rank
Team
Conference
Seed
Tourney 64
Tourney 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Last 2
Champion
1
Kentucky
Southeastern
99.2
80.5
67.1
54.4
37.9
24.3
2
Ohio State
Big Ten
92.9
73.4
58.7
35.2
21.5
11.7
5
Michigan State
Big Ten
94.9
62.8
39.3
25.8
14.2
7.8
17
North Carolina
ACC
83.5
57.4
34.7
22.2
12.6
6.5
12
Georgetown
Big East
84.2
51.3
32.2
20
11.2
6.3
8
Missouri
Big 12
94.4
75.6
51.2
26.6
11.3
6.1
6
Syracuse
Big East
96.1
65.5
38.8
22.7
12.1
5.9
11
Kansas
Big 12
89.4
56.7
34
18.7
9.3
3.7
16
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
72.2
47.7
27
13.9
7.7
3.7
14
Marquette
Big East
67.6
42.9
22.2
11.1
5.2
2.6
10
Louisville
Big East
82.7
43.1
20
8.8
4.2
2
3
Memphis
Conference USA
67.5
23.9
15.7
8.5
3.8
2
20
Michigan
Big Ten
54.3
37.7
21.3
10.3
4.9
1.8
9
New Mexico
Mountain West
62.7
34.5
12.8
5.1
2.3
1.2
25
Baylor
Big 12
69.9
41.2
22.9
7.2
2.9
1.1
40
Murray State
Ohio Valley
84.7
41.2
13.8
5.5
2.2
1
31
Duke
ACC
79.3
44
25.3
7.3
2.3
0.8
38
UNLV
Mountain West
69.5
39.8
20.3
7
2
0.7
15
Indiana
Big Ten
61.1
34.1
8.1
4.8
1.8
0.7
35
Florida State
ACC
68.3
36
13
5.8
2.4
0.7
60
Ohio
Mid-American
45.6
27.1
10.9
5
2
0.7
18
Kansas State
Big 12
46.8
20.3
10.8
4.4
1.9
0.6
29
Connecticut
Big East
57.5
16
8
4.1
1.4
0.5
24
Creighton
Missouri Valley
57.3
23.4
12
4.5
1.5
0.5
42
West Virginia
Big East
59.8
17.5
7.9
3.1
1.2
0.4
36
St. Mary's
West Coast
58.9
26.9
10.6
3.8
1.2
0.4
13
Long Beach State
Big West
37.2
18.8
6
2.1
0.9
0.4
63
San Diego State
Mountain West
69.5
32.6
12.6
5
1.8
0.4
7
Wisconsin
Big Ten
60.2
28.3
10.5
3.7
1.4
0.4
23
Virginia Commonwealth
Colonial Athletic
53.9
26.4
6.1
3.4
1.2
0.4
19
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
32.4
12.6
5.5
2.7
1.1
0.4
4
Wichita State
Missouri Valley
46
21.7
5.3
3
1.1
0.3
34
Temple
Atlantic 10
65.5
25.2
11.3
3.9
1.2
0.3
43
Notre Dame
Big East
48.7
23.8
13.2
3.4
1
0.3
39
Cincinnati
Big East
37.8
19.8
7.7
3.1
1.2
0.3
66
Xavier
Atlantic 10
51.2
22.8
10.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
48
New Mexico State
Western Athletic
38.8
17.6
3.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
53
Southern Miss
Conference USA
53.1
13.8
6
2
0.6
0.1
44
Virginia
ACC
44.6
11.7
4.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
33
Alabama
Southeastern
42.6
13.9
5.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
32
Texas
Big 12
62.1
33
7.9
2.7
0.7
0.1
37
Belmont
Atlantic Sun
15.7
6.8
1.7
0.4
0
0
77
Colorado State
Mountain West
15.2
2.7
0.2
0
0
0
87
Detroit
Horizon League
10.5
2.5
0.5
0
0
0
96
Davidson
Southern
17.2
3.4
0.3
0
0
0
114
Lehigh
Patriot League
20.6
9.2
2.6
0.2
0
0
116
Colorado
Pac 12
30.4
8.9
2.1
0.1
0
0
117
South Dakota State
Summit League
30
9.9
2.5
0.3
0
0
128
Loyola-Maryland
MAAC
7
2.2
0.6
0.1
0
0
150
NC-Asheville
Big South
3.8
0.3
0
0
0
0
174
Norfolk State
MEAC
5.5
0.9
0.1
0
0
0
177
LIU-Brooklyn
Northeast
5
0.4
0
0
0
0
182
Western Kentucky
Sun Belt
74.5
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
76
Vermont
American East
51.1
6.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
0
0
75
Montana
Big Sky
39.7
10.7
2.1
0.4
0
0
73
California
Pac 12
42.5
8
1.6
0.3
0
0
0
41
Iona
MAAC
48.3
15.2
8
2.2
0.5
0.1
0
28
Iowa State
Big 12
42.4
3.3
1.5
0.6
0.1
0
47
Harvard
Ivy League
27.7
13.1
4.4
1.2
0.4
0
49
North Carolina State
ACC
30.4
9
3.5
1
0.2
0
52
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
31.6
11
2.3
0.6
0.1
0
30
South Florida
Big East
57.4
26.3
8.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
0
59
Gonzaga
West Coast
40.1
6.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
0
27
Florida
Southeastern
55.3
11.5
3.9
1
0.2
0
26
Brigham Young
West Coast
51.6
17
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
0
22
Purdue
Big Ten
41
13.7
4.7
1.4
0.3
0
68
Lamar
Southland
48.8
9.5
2.8
0.6
0.1
0
0
199
Mississippi Valley State
SWAC
25.4
0.1
0
0
0
0
0
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Copyright 2011 by Clint Kimball.
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